Hang in There Sellers!

For those of you who missed the Austin Business Journal's article September 15th, recovery is just around the corner for the Capitol City. The article cited a report from IHS Global Insight which stated that "the first two U.S. cities to recover from the recession will be Austin and San Antonio (2010)." Dallas-Fort Worth and Houston are in the group expected to bounce back in 2011.

It's another report stating that Austin is surviving this recession better than most of the country. But what does this mean for our real estate market? Ask your neighbor who has had their home on the market for the better part of the last year, and I doubt they will tell you things are looking up. Their home has probably been on the market for months, and they have been adjusting their price as the market has dictated. Adding insult to injury, many sellers have received offers so far below market value that they have refused to respond.

But the truth is that while the Austin market has declined in the past year, the Austin Board of Realtors just reported that although home sales in August were down 10% from August 2008 there was only a 4% decrease in price. Sellers are willing to have their homes on the market longer and wait out the decline rather than accept an unreasonable offer. For instance a house that would have sold for $1,300,000 last August would sell for $1,248,000 today. And while luxury properties are taking longer to sell and inventory is still high, the percent of price decline is still between 4 and 5 percent.

So the question surfaces, why leave a house on the market allowing it to accumulate a high number of "days on the market"? Simple answer, buyers are still buying (90% is a healthy number) and if the house is off the market a showing and possible sale may be missed. Of course there are hip pocket listings and silent listings, especially in the luxury market (I admit I have one), but it is impossible to market to all agents at all times any more efficiently than through the MLS system. And most sellers are savvy enough to understand the power of this network.

Now there are still a few uninformed buyers/agents focused on "days on the market" who are under the assumption that most sellers are in dire straights and are willing to discount their homes, but many buyers/agents are noticing that Austin's housing market may be at its' lowest point and now is the time to buy. Low interest rates are also enticing buyers to get under contract.

So hang in there sellers, as frustrating it may seem right now, your buyer is nearby. While I don't think we will see a boom in real estate sales in 2010, I do think that we will continue to see a steady strengthening of the market.